ASA vs Uberlandia

06 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

ASA

Uberlandia

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.7% DRAW 31.9% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.1% 2.06 DRAW 31.3% 3.10 AWAY 21.6% 4.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Uberlandia

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

ASA Uberlandia

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output favours Uberlandia, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

ASA Uberlandia

Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 4.5

ASA has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

ASA Uberlandia

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

ASA ↑ +0.13 (+6.7%)

Uberlandia ↑ +0.65 (+16.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.