Nasarawa United vs Bendel Insurance

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Nasarawa United

Bendel Insurance

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.4% DRAW 29.4% AWAY 19.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.9% 1.72 DRAW 28.5% 3.25 AWAY 17.6% 5.25

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Nasarawa United

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Nasarawa United Bendel Insurance

Shots 8.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 4.3 · On target 1.5

Recent attacking output favours Nasarawa United, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Nasarawa United Bendel Insurance

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.0

Bendel Insurance has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Nasarawa United Bendel Insurance

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Nasarawa United ↑ +0.07 (+4.2%)

Bendel Insurance ↑ +0.25 (+5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.