Maccabi Netanya vs Hapoel Haifa

07 Sep 2026 · 18:45

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +2.6 pp

Maccabi Netanya

Hapoel Haifa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.7% DRAW 26.9% AWAY 21.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.1% 1.99 DRAW 27.5% 3.55 AWAY 23.3% 4.19

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Maccabi Netanya relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 51.7% win probability, compared with 49.1% implied by the market. The 2.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Maccabi Netanya

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Netanya Hapoel Haifa

Shots 13.8 · On target 4.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Netanya Hapoel Haifa

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

Maccabi Netanya has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Netanya Hapoel Haifa

The combined recent performance profile favours Maccabi Netanya.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Maccabi Netanya ↑ +0.16 (+8.6%)

Hapoel Haifa ↑ +0.69 (+19.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.