HNK Rijeka vs NK Osijek

05 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE AWAY +4.0 pp

HNK Rijeka

NK Osijek

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% DRAW 29.8% AWAY 23.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 52.2% 1.85 DRAW 28.4% 3.40 AWAY 19.5% 4.96

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates NK Osijek clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 23.5% win probability, compared with 19.5% implied by the market. The 4.0 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

NK Osijek has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

HNK Rijeka NK Osijek

Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8 Shots 17.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours NK Osijek, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

HNK Rijeka NK Osijek

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.3 Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 2.8

NK Osijek has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

HNK Rijeka NK Osijek

The combined recent performance profile favours NK Osijek.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

HNK Rijeka ↑ +0.06 (+3.2%)

NK Osijek ↓ -0.23 (-4.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.