Bjelovar vs Karlovac

15 Sep 2026 · 16:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Bjelovar

Karlovac

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 19.5% DRAW 20.4% AWAY 60.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 17.8% 5.20 DRAW 20.6% 4.50 AWAY 61.7% 1.50

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bjelovar Karlovac

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bjelovar Karlovac

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bjelovar Karlovac

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Bjelovar ↑ +0.70 (+15.6%)

Karlovac = (0.0%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.