Joondalup City vs Armadale

05 Sep 2026 · 09:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Joondalup City

Armadale

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.4% DRAW 18.2% AWAY 61.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.0% 4.81 DRAW 19.2% 5.00 AWAY 60.8% 1.58

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Armadale

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Joondalup City Armadale

Shots 2.3 · On target 0.5 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Armadale, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Joondalup City Armadale

Shots allowed 3.0 · On target allowed 1.0 Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8

Joondalup City has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Joondalup City Armadale

The combined recent performance profile favours Armadale.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Joondalup City ↑ +1.01 (+26.4%)

Armadale ↑ +0.01 (+0.6%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.