Argentino de Rosario Reserves vs Deportivo Espanol Reserves

02 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR HOME +9.8 pp

Argentino de Rosario Reserves

Deportivo Espanol Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 39.6% DRAW 24.3% AWAY 36.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 29.8% 3.00 DRAW 25.5% 3.50 AWAY 44.7% 2.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Argentino de Rosario Reserves significantly higher than the market does.

Our model estimates a 39.6% win probability, compared with 29.8% implied by the market. This 9.8 percentage-point gap, supported by 222 historically comparable matches, highlights a significant divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Argentino de Rosario Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Argentino de Rosario Reserves Deportivo Espanol Reserves

Shots 7.8 · On target 4.5 Shots 7.5 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Argentino de Rosario Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Argentino de Rosario Reserves Deportivo Espanol Reserves

Shots allowed 6.0 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Argentino de Rosario Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Argentino de Rosario Reserves Deportivo Espanol Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Argentino de Rosario Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Argentino de Rosario Reserves ↑ +0.10 (+3.3%)

Deportivo Espanol Reserves ↑ +0.05 (+2.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.