Mineros vs Atletico Avila

06 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Mineros

Atletico Avila

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.6% DRAW 25.7% AWAY 14.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 57.8% 1.62 DRAW 26.2% 3.56 AWAY 16.0% 5.84

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mineros has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Mineros Atletico Avila

Shots 11.5 · On target 6.3 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output favours Mineros, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Mineros Atletico Avila

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Mineros has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Mineros Atletico Avila

The combined recent performance profile favours Mineros.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Mineros ↓ -0.24 (-12.7%)

Atletico Avila ↑ +1.79 (+44.2%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.