Aragua vs Deportivo Miranda FC

13 Sep 2026 · 21:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Aragua

Deportivo Miranda FC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 47.9% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 23.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.3% 1.94 DRAW 28.3% 3.25 AWAY 24.4% 3.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Aragua

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Aragua Deportivo Miranda FC

Shots 12.5 · On target 8.8 Shots 9.5 · On target 2.3

Recent attacking output favours Aragua, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Aragua Deportivo Miranda FC

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 3.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Deportivo Miranda FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Aragua Deportivo Miranda FC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Aragua ↓ -0.20 (-9.3%)

Deportivo Miranda FC ↑ +0.55 (+17.1%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.