Cariari Pococi vs Pitbulls Santa Barbara

03 Sep 2026 · 21:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Cariari Pococi

Pitbulls Santa Barbara

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 51.2% DRAW 25.0% AWAY 23.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 49.3% 1.88 DRAW 25.7% 3.60 AWAY 25.0% 3.72

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Cariari Pococi

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Cariari Pococi Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Shots 11.3 · On target 6.8 Shots 11.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours Cariari Pococi, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Cariari Pococi Pitbulls Santa Barbara

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Cariari Pococi Pitbulls Santa Barbara

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Cariari Pococi ↓ -0.03 (-1.5%)

Pitbulls Santa Barbara ↑ +0.47 (+14.3%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.