Libertad Limpeno (W) vs 2 de Mayo (W)

03 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Libertad Limpeno (W)

2 de Mayo (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 96.3% DRAW 2.3% AWAY 1.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 94.8% 1.01 DRAW 3.3% 29.00 AWAY 1.9% 51.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Libertad Limpeno (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Libertad Limpeno (W) 2 de Mayo (W)

Shots 16.5 · On target 8.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Libertad Limpeno (W), combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Libertad Limpeno (W) 2 de Mayo (W)

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 14.5 · On target allowed 6.5

Libertad Limpeno (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Libertad Limpeno (W) 2 de Mayo (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Libertad Limpeno (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Libertad Limpeno (W) = (0.0%)

2 de Mayo (W) = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.