Millonarios vs Deportivo Cali

11 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.8 pp

Millonarios

Deportivo Cali

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.1% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 15.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% 1.79 DRAW 27.0% 3.60 AWAY 18.7% 5.20

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Millonarios clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 59.1% win probability, compared with 54.3% implied by the market. The 4.8 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Millonarios has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Millonarios Deportivo Cali

Shots 15.8 · On target 8.3 Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Millonarios, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Millonarios Deportivo Cali

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.0

Millonarios has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Millonarios Deportivo Cali

The combined recent performance profile favours Millonarios.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Millonarios ↑ +0.09 (+5.2%)

Deportivo Cali ↑ +0.21 (+4.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.