Olimpia Asuncion (W) vs Deportivo Recoleta (W)

03 Sep 2026 · 19:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

Olimpia Asuncion (W)

Deportivo Recoleta (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 96.7% DRAW 2.5% AWAY 0.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 95.7% 1.01 DRAW 3.3% 29.00 AWAY 1.0% 101.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Olimpia Asuncion (W) has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Olimpia Asuncion (W) Deportivo Recoleta (W)

Shots 12.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 4.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Olimpia Asuncion (W) Deportivo Recoleta (W)

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 15.5 · On target allowed 8.3

Olimpia Asuncion (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Olimpia Asuncion (W) Deportivo Recoleta (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Olimpia Asuncion (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Olimpia Asuncion (W) ↓ 0.00 (-0.2%)

Deportivo Recoleta (W) ↑ +50.00 (+98.0%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.