PAOK Salonika B vs Olympiacos B

09 Sep 2026 · 15:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.2 pp

PAOK Salonika B

Olympiacos B

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 58.4% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 16.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 54.3% 1.73 DRAW 26.0% 3.60 AWAY 19.7% 4.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates PAOK Salonika B clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 58.4% win probability, compared with 54.3% implied by the market. The 4.2 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

PAOK Salonika B has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

PAOK Salonika B Olympiacos B

Shots 8.0 · On target 4.3 Shots 4.8 · On target 0.8

Recent attacking output favours PAOK Salonika B, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

PAOK Salonika B Olympiacos B

Shots allowed 5.5 · On target allowed 2.3 Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 5.0

PAOK Salonika B has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

PAOK Salonika B Olympiacos B

The combined recent performance profile favours PAOK Salonika B.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

PAOK Salonika B ↓ -0.24 (-12.3%)

Olympiacos B ↑ +1.01 (+27.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.