Matagalpa FC vs Diriangen

07 Sep 2026 · 03:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

Matagalpa FC

Diriangen

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 20.4% DRAW 24.9% AWAY 54.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 20.1% 4.70 DRAW 25.0% 3.78 AWAY 54.8% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Diriangen

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Matagalpa FC Diriangen

Shots 6.3 · On target 2.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 4.8

Recent attacking output favours Diriangen, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Matagalpa FC Diriangen

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 13.0 · On target allowed 4.5

Matagalpa FC has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Matagalpa FC Diriangen

The combined recent performance profile favours Diriangen.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Matagalpa FC ↓ -0.55 (-10.5%)

Diriangen ↑ +0.25 (+16.7%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.