San Marcos FC vs Jalapa

06 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

San Marcos FC

Jalapa

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 35.4% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 37.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.9% 2.77 DRAW 27.6% 3.41 AWAY 38.5% 2.44

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: San Marcos FC

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Marcos FC Jalapa

Shots 13.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 9.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours San Marcos FC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Marcos FC Jalapa

Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Jalapa has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Marcos FC Jalapa

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Marcos FC ↑ +0.17 (+6.7%)

Jalapa ↑ +0.06 (+2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.