Bonsucesso FC U20 vs Resende RJ U20

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE HOME +11.2 pp

Bonsucesso FC U20

Resende RJ U20

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.6% DRAW 29.5% AWAY 33.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 25.5% 3.80 DRAW 28.5% 3.40 AWAY 46.1% 2.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Bonsucesso FC U20 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 36.6% win probability, compared with 25.5% implied by the market. The 11.2 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Bonsucesso FC U20

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Bonsucesso FC U20 Resende RJ U20

Shots 6.8 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.8 · On target 3.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Bonsucesso FC U20 Resende RJ U20

Shots allowed 3.3 · On target allowed 0.8 Shots allowed 28.5 · On target allowed 11.0

Bonsucesso FC U20 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Bonsucesso FC U20 Resende RJ U20

The combined recent performance profile favours Bonsucesso FC U20.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Bonsucesso FC U20 ↑ +0.27 (+7.5%)

Resende RJ U20 ↑ +0.21 (+11.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.