Rentistas vs Atletico Fenix Montevideo

06 Sep 2026 · 22:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.6 pp

Rentistas

Atletico Fenix Montevideo

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 32.2% DRAW 31.9% AWAY 35.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 33.2% 2.80 DRAW 31.5% 2.95 AWAY 35.3% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Atletico Fenix Montevideo

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Rentistas Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 12.0 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Fenix Montevideo, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Rentistas Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Shots allowed 7.3 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.3

Rentistas has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Rentistas Atletico Fenix Montevideo

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home weakening

Rentistas ↑ +0.22 (+8.5%)

Atletico Fenix Montevideo ↓ -0.05 (-1.9%)

The home price has moved clearly higher, while the away price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.