Levante UD (W) vs Villarreal (W)

03 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG HOME +12.8 pp

Levante UD (W)

Villarreal (W)

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.4% DRAW 24.4% AWAY 22.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.6% 2.20 DRAW 26.3% 3.40 AWAY 33.1% 2.70

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Levante UD (W) significantly higher than the market does.

Our model estimates a 53.4% win probability, compared with 40.6% implied by the market. This 12.8 percentage-point gap, supported by 722 historically comparable matches, highlights a significant divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Levante UD (W)

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Levante UD (W) Villarreal (W)

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 5.3 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Levante UD (W) Villarreal (W)

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 12.5 · On target allowed 7.0

Levante UD (W) has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Levante UD (W) Villarreal (W)

The combined recent performance profile favours Levante UD (W).

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Levante UD (W) ↓ -0.10 (-4.3%)

Villarreal (W) ↑ +0.64 (+24.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.