Defensa y Justicia Reserves vs Central Cordoba SdE Reserves

15 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.3 pp

Defensa y Justicia Reserves

Central Cordoba SdE Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 56.6% DRAW 23.6% AWAY 19.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.3% 1.74 DRAW 24.7% 3.75 AWAY 22.0% 4.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Defensa y Justicia Reserves relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 56.6% win probability, compared with 53.3% implied by the market. The 3.3 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Defensa y Justicia Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Defensa y Justicia Reserves Central Cordoba SdE Reserves

Shots 14.3 · On target 6.5 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Defensa y Justicia Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Defensa y Justicia Reserves Central Cordoba SdE Reserves

Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Defensa y Justicia Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Defensa y Justicia Reserves Central Cordoba SdE Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Defensa y Justicia Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Defensa y Justicia Reserves ↑ +0.04 (+2.4%)

Central Cordoba SdE Reserves ↓ -0.13 (-2.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.