CA Independiente Reserves vs Colon Reserves

15 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.3 pp

CA Independiente Reserves

Colon Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.7% DRAW 24.7% AWAY 15.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.0% 1.65 DRAW 24.7% 4.00 AWAY 15.3% 6.48

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Colon Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

CA Independiente Reserves Colon Reserves

Shots 4.5 · On target 2.5 Shots 9.0 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours Colon Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

CA Independiente Reserves Colon Reserves

Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.5 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.3

CA Independiente Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

CA Independiente Reserves Colon Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

CA Independiente Reserves ↑ +0.08 (+5.1%)

Colon Reserves ↑ +1.57 (+31.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.