Deportivo Riestra Reserves vs Lanus Reserves

10 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.6 pp

Deportivo Riestra Reserves

Lanus Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.5% DRAW 31.8% AWAY 37.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.4% 3.10 DRAW 31.4% 3.20 AWAY 36.2% 2.78

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.6 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Lanus Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Riestra Reserves Lanus Reserves

Shots 8.5 · On target 4.5 Shots 11.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Lanus Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Riestra Reserves Lanus Reserves

Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 8.5 · On target allowed 2.0

Lanus Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Riestra Reserves Lanus Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Lanus Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Deportivo Riestra Reserves ↑ +0.11 (+3.7%)

Lanus Reserves ↑ +0.46 (+19.8%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.