San Martin de San Juan Reserves vs Defensa y Justicia Reserves

09 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.0 pp

San Martin de San Juan Reserves

Defensa y Justicia Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 22.1% DRAW 24.5% AWAY 53.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 21.0% 4.48 DRAW 24.6% 3.83 AWAY 54.4% 1.73

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Defensa y Justicia Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Martin de San Juan Reserves Defensa y Justicia Reserves

Shots 10.3 · On target 2.8 Shots 10.5 · On target 5.3

Recent attacking output favours Defensa y Justicia Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Martin de San Juan Reserves Defensa y Justicia Reserves

Shots allowed 10.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

San Martin de San Juan Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Martin de San Juan Reserves Defensa y Justicia Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Martin de San Juan Reserves ↓ -0.08 (-1.7%)

Defensa y Justicia Reserves ↑ +0.12 (+7.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.