Union Santa Fe Reserves vs CA Tigre Reserves

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Union Santa Fe Reserves

CA Tigre Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.8% DRAW 30.7% AWAY 22.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.7% 1.96 DRAW 30.2% 3.10 AWAY 22.1% 4.23

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: CA Tigre Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Union Santa Fe Reserves CA Tigre Reserves

Shots 8.0 · On target 4.8 Shots 13.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours CA Tigre Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Union Santa Fe Reserves CA Tigre Reserves

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 5.8

Union Santa Fe Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Union Santa Fe Reserves CA Tigre Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Union Santa Fe Reserves ↑ +0.08 (+4.3%)

CA Tigre Reserves ↑ +0.07 (+1.6%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.