Atletico Tucuman Reserves vs Rosario Central Reserves

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

Atletico Tucuman Reserves

Rosario Central Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 30.2% DRAW 27.5% AWAY 42.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 32.3% 2.89 DRAW 27.8% 3.35 AWAY 39.9% 2.34

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Rosario Central Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Atletico Tucuman Reserves Rosario Central Reserves

Shots 6.0 · On target 3.3 Shots 15.8 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours Rosario Central Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Atletico Tucuman Reserves Rosario Central Reserves

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 11.3 · On target allowed 6.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Atletico Tucuman Reserves Rosario Central Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours Rosario Central Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Atletico Tucuman Reserves ↓ -0.12 (-4.1%)

Rosario Central Reserves ↑ +0.07 (+3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.