Banfield Reserves vs Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

10 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Banfield Reserves

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 44.7% DRAW 27.4% AWAY 27.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% 2.18 DRAW 27.8% 3.33 AWAY 29.6% 3.13

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Banfield Reserves Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

Shots 6.5 · On target 3.0 Shots 11.8 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output favours Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Banfield Reserves Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 16.5 · On target allowed 7.0

Banfield Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Banfield Reserves Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Banfield Reserves ↓ -0.21 (-8.8%)

Gimnasia Mendoza Reserves ↑ +0.05 (+1.5%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.