San Lorenzo Reserves vs Union Santa Fe Reserves

09 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

San Lorenzo Reserves

Union Santa Fe Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% DRAW 31.7% AWAY 26.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 41.7% 2.35 DRAW 31.2% 3.14 AWAY 27.0% 3.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Union Santa Fe Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

San Lorenzo Reserves Union Santa Fe Reserves

Shots 7.3 · On target 4.0 Shots 9.0 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output favours Union Santa Fe Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

San Lorenzo Reserves Union Santa Fe Reserves

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3

San Lorenzo Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

San Lorenzo Reserves Union Santa Fe Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

San Lorenzo Reserves ↑ +0.28 (+13.5%)

Union Santa Fe Reserves ↑ +0.11 (+3.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.