Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves vs Sarmiento Reserves

09 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.1 pp

Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves

Sarmiento Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 40.4% DRAW 30.5% AWAY 29.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 39.2% 2.40 DRAW 30.4% 3.10 AWAY 30.4% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves Sarmiento Reserves

Shots 11.0 · On target 5.3 Shots 10.3 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output favours Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves Sarmiento Reserves

Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 4.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves Sarmiento Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Instituto AC Cordoba Reserves ↑ +0.30 (+14.3%)

Sarmiento Reserves ↓ -0.44 (-12.4%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.