River Plate Reserves vs CA Aldosivi Reserves

09 Sep 2026 · 00:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.4 pp

River Plate Reserves

CA Aldosivi Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 75.2% DRAW 16.7% AWAY 8.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 73.8% 1.27 DRAW 17.6% 5.32 AWAY 8.5% 11.00

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

River Plate Reserves has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

River Plate Reserves CA Aldosivi Reserves

Shots 12.8 · On target 6.3 Shots 11.0 · On target 6.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

River Plate Reserves CA Aldosivi Reserves

Shots allowed 7.5 · On target allowed 3.3 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 5.3

River Plate Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

River Plate Reserves CA Aldosivi Reserves

The combined recent performance profile favours River Plate Reserves.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

River Plate Reserves ↓ -0.07 (-4.7%)

CA Aldosivi Reserves ↑ +4.44 (+67.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.