Sportivo Luqueno vs Sportivo Ameliano

06 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

Sportivo Luqueno

Sportivo Ameliano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 28.5% DRAW 28.9% AWAY 42.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 28.1% 3.39 DRAW 28.8% 3.31 AWAY 43.1% 2.21

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Sportivo Ameliano

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Ameliano

Shots 11.3 · On target 3.5 Shots 12.0 · On target 3.8

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Ameliano

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 15.3 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Sportivo Luqueno Sportivo Ameliano

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Sportivo Luqueno ↑ +0.39 (+13.0%)

Sportivo Ameliano ↓ -0.29 (-11.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.