FK Auda vs SC Grobinas

06 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +5.9 pp

FK Auda

SC Grobinas

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 70.7% DRAW 19.5% AWAY 9.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 64.9% 1.47 DRAW 22.0% 4.33 AWAY 13.1% 7.29

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates FK Auda clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 70.7% win probability, compared with 64.9% implied by the market. The 5.9 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

FK Auda has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

FK Auda SC Grobinas

Shots 15.5 · On target 5.8 Shots 9.0 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output favours FK Auda, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FK Auda SC Grobinas

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 19.5 · On target allowed 8.5

FK Auda has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FK Auda SC Grobinas

The combined recent performance profile favours FK Auda.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FK Auda ↑ +0.11 (+7.9%)

SC Grobinas ↑ +0.79 (+12.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.