Malacateco vs Antigua GFC

11 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

Malacateco

Antigua GFC

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.7% DRAW 30.8% AWAY 30.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% 2.43 DRAW 30.5% 3.10 AWAY 30.5% 3.10

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.0 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Antigua GFC

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Malacateco Antigua GFC

Shots 8.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 15.3 · On target 5.8

Recent attacking output favours Antigua GFC, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Malacateco Antigua GFC

Shots allowed 5.8 · On target allowed 3.0 Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 5.3

Malacateco has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Malacateco Antigua GFC

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Malacateco ↓ -0.17 (-6.5%)

Antigua GFC ↑ +0.05 (+1.6%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.