Metropolitanos FC vs Trujillanos

04 Sep 2026 · 01:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.9 pp

Metropolitanos FC

Trujillanos

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 53.0% DRAW 26.8% AWAY 20.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 55.5% 1.68 DRAW 26.2% 3.56 AWAY 18.3% 5.09

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.9 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Trujillanos has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Metropolitanos FC Trujillanos

Shots 11.0 · On target 4.5 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Metropolitanos FC Trujillanos

Shots allowed 14.3 · On target allowed 5.5 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Trujillanos has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Metropolitanos FC Trujillanos

The combined recent performance profile favours Trujillanos.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Metropolitanos FC ↑ +0.05 (+3.1%)

Trujillanos ↓ -0.25 (-5.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.