Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves vs Platense Reserves

16 Sep 2026 · 20:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.1 pp

Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves

Platense Reserves

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 31.9% DRAW 29.3% AWAY 38.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 31.8% 2.94 DRAW 29.2% 3.20 AWAY 39.0% 2.40

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves Platense Reserves

Shots 7.3 · On target 2.5 Shots 5.5 · On target 1.3

Recent attacking output favours Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves Platense Reserves

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 7.0 · On target allowed 2.3

Platense Reserves has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves Platense Reserves

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Ferro Carril Oeste Reserves ↑ +0.44 (+17.5%)

Platense Reserves ↓ -0.70 (-22.6%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.