IF Gnistan vs KuPS Kuopio

08 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.4 pp

IF Gnistan

KuPS Kuopio

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 26.8% DRAW 25.3% AWAY 47.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 24.3% 4.00 DRAW 25.2% 3.86 AWAY 50.4% 1.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: IF Gnistan

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

IF Gnistan KuPS Kuopio

Shots 14.8 · On target 5.5 Shots 8.5 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output favours IF Gnistan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

IF Gnistan KuPS Kuopio

Shots allowed 11.8 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0

KuPS Kuopio has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

IF Gnistan KuPS Kuopio

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

IF Gnistan ↑ +0.25 (+6.7%)

KuPS Kuopio = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.