VPS Vaasa vs AC Oulu

08 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.3 pp

VPS Vaasa

AC Oulu

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 48.5% DRAW 26.7% AWAY 24.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 46.1% 2.10 DRAW 27.3% 3.55 AWAY 26.6% 3.65

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.3 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: VPS Vaasa

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

VPS Vaasa AC Oulu

Shots 10.3 · On target 5.0 Shots 6.0 · On target 1.8

Recent attacking output favours VPS Vaasa, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

VPS Vaasa AC Oulu

Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 9.0 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

VPS Vaasa AC Oulu

The combined recent performance profile favours VPS Vaasa.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

VPS Vaasa ↑ +0.01 (+0.5%)

AC Oulu ↑ +0.04 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.