TPS vs SJK

08 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

TPS

SJK

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 38.9% DRAW 26.6% AWAY 34.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.7% 2.37 DRAW 26.9% 3.58 AWAY 32.4% 2.97

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

SJK has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

TPS SJK

Shots 10.5 · On target 4.0 Shots 12.8 · On target 5.0

Recent attacking output favours SJK, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

TPS SJK

Shots allowed 13.3 · On target allowed 4.8 Shots allowed 10.8 · On target allowed 2.8

SJK has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

TPS SJK

The combined recent performance profile favours SJK.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

TPS ↑ +0.07 (+3.0%)

SJK ↓ -0.10 (-3.3%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.