FC Ilves vs FF Jaro

08 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

FC Ilves

FF Jaro

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 59.9% DRAW 21.2% AWAY 18.9%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 62.0% 1.55 DRAW 21.2% 4.53 AWAY 16.7% 5.75

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: FF Jaro

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Ilves FF Jaro

Shots 6.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 10.5 · On target 3.3

Recent attacking output favours FF Jaro, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Ilves FF Jaro

Shots allowed 15.8 · On target allowed 5.0 Shots allowed 10.3 · On target allowed 5.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Ilves FF Jaro

The combined recent performance profile favours FF Jaro.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Ilves ↑ +0.06 (+3.7%)

FF Jaro ↓ -0.16 (-2.7%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.