FC Lahti vs IFK Mariehamn

08 Sep 2026 · 17:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.4 pp

FC Lahti

IFK Mariehamn

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 60.3% DRAW 22.6% AWAY 17.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 60.3% 1.63 DRAW 23.0% 4.27 AWAY 16.7% 5.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.4 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Mixed Performance

The overall recent shot balance favours the away side, although neither attack nor defence dominates every measure.

Attack Recent attacking output

FC Lahti IFK Mariehamn

Shots 13.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 11.0 · On target 4.0

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

FC Lahti IFK Mariehamn

Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 10.5 · On target allowed 4.3

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

FC Lahti IFK Mariehamn

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

FC Lahti ↑ +0.08 (+5.0%)

IFK Mariehamn ↑ +0.07 (+1.2%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.