Deportivo Tachira vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

06 Sep 2026 · 23:30

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.4 pp

Deportivo Tachira

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 78.7% DRAW 14.7% AWAY 6.6%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 75.3% 1.27 DRAW 16.6% 5.75 AWAY 8.1% 11.80

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Deportivo Tachira relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 78.7% win probability, compared with 75.3% implied by the market. The 3.4 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Deportivo Tachira has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Shots 16.3 · On target 5.5 Shots 7.0 · On target 3.0

Recent attacking output favours Deportivo Tachira, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

Shots allowed 13.8 · On target allowed 4.3 Shots allowed 18.5 · On target allowed 5.8

Deportivo Tachira has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Deportivo Tachira Deportivo Rayo Zuliano

The combined recent performance profile favours Deportivo Tachira.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away weakening

Deportivo Tachira ↑ +0.02 (+1.6%)

Deportivo Rayo Zuliano ↑ +2.80 (+31.1%)

The away price has moved clearly higher, while the home price has remained broadly stable.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.