Maccabi Ironi Ashdod vs Hapoel Herzliya

03 Sep 2026 · 19:45

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod

Hapoel Herzliya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 34.5% DRAW 28.1% AWAY 37.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 36.4% 2.52 DRAW 28.3% 3.25 AWAY 35.3% 2.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Hapoel Herzliya

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Hapoel Herzliya

Shots 8.8 · On target 4.8 Shots 8.8 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Hapoel Herzliya

Shots allowed 16.8 · On target allowed 7.0 Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 5.0

Hapoel Herzliya has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod Hapoel Herzliya

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Maccabi Ironi Ashdod ↑ +0.47 (+22.9%)

Hapoel Herzliya ↓ -0.50 (-16.1%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.