Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik vs Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

05 Sep 2026 · 20:15

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.5 pp

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 45.3% DRAW 28.5% AWAY 26.3%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 47.0% 1.98 DRAW 28.2% 3.30 AWAY 24.8% 3.76

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.5 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

Shots 8.8 · On target 3.3 Shots 13.5 · On target 8.0

Recent attacking output favours Hapoel Migdal Haemeq, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

Shots allowed 9.5 · On target allowed 4.5 Shots allowed 13.5 · On target allowed 4.8

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik Hapoel Migdal Haemeq

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Migdal Haemeq.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Away strengthening

Maccabi Kiryat Ata Bialik ↑ +0.28 (+16.5%)

Hapoel Migdal Haemeq ↓ -0.44 (-10.5%)

The away price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the away side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.