Ironi Nesher vs FC Tzeirey Tamra

04 Sep 2026 · 13:25

OPPORTUNITY

SLIGHT EDGE HOME +3.6 pp

Ironi Nesher

FC Tzeirey Tamra

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 46.2% DRAW 25.6% AWAY 28.2%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% 2.13 DRAW 26.4% 3.44 AWAY 31.0% 2.93

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet sees a slight edge for Ironi Nesher relative to the market.

Our calibrated model estimates a 46.2% win probability, compared with 42.6% implied by the market. The 3.6 percentage-point difference suggests a modest divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Ironi Nesher

The home side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Ironi Nesher FC Tzeirey Tamra

Shots 8.5 · On target 3.5 Shots 1.5 · On target 0.5

Recent attacking output favours Ironi Nesher, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Ironi Nesher FC Tzeirey Tamra

Shots allowed 8.0 · On target allowed 2.8 Shots allowed 4.8 · On target allowed 4.0

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Ironi Nesher FC Tzeirey Tamra

The combined recent performance profile favours Ironi Nesher.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Ironi Nesher ↑ +0.03 (+1.4%)

FC Tzeirey Tamra ↑ +0.03 (+1.1%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.