Suchitepequez vs Guastatoya

10 Sep 2026 · 04:10

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.7 pp

Suchitepequez

Guastatoya

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.6% DRAW 33.5% AWAY 24.0%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 40.9% 2.30 DRAW 33.0% 2.85 AWAY 26.1% 3.60

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.7 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Suchitepequez has the stronger recent profile

The home side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Suchitepequez Guastatoya

Shots 7.3 · On target 3.3 Shots 6.3 · On target 2.5

Recent attacking output favours Suchitepequez, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Suchitepequez Guastatoya

Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.8 Shots allowed 12.8 · On target allowed 4.8

Suchitepequez has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Suchitepequez Guastatoya

The combined recent performance profile favours Suchitepequez.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Suchitepequez ↑ +0.10 (+4.5%)

Guastatoya ↑ +0.60 (+20.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.