Herrera FC Reserves vs Aguilas de la U

05 Sep 2026 · 23:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.2 pp

Herrera FC Reserves

Aguilas de la U

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 7.1% DRAW 10.2% AWAY 82.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 7.8% 12.00 DRAW 11.6% 8.10 AWAY 80.6% 1.17

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.2 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Herrera FC Reserves

The away side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Herrera FC Reserves Aguilas de la U

Shots 11.5 · On target 6.5 Shots 11.3 · On target 6.5

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Herrera FC Reserves Aguilas de la U

Shots allowed 19.8 · On target allowed 11.0 Shots allowed 9.8 · On target allowed 4.5

Aguilas de la U has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Herrera FC Reserves Aguilas de la U

The combined recent performance profile favours Aguilas de la U.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Home strengthening

Herrera FC Reserves ↓ -3.00 (-20.0%)

Aguilas de la U ↑ +0.06 (+5.0%)

The home price has shortened, indicating stronger market support for the home side.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.