Liverpool U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19

09 Sep 2026 · 16:00

OPPORTUNITY

STRONG EDGE AWAY +6.3 pp

Liverpool U19

Atletico Madrid U19

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 36.9% DRAW 25.1% AWAY 38.1%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 42.7% 2.15 DRAW 25.5% 3.60 AWAY 31.7% 2.90

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Atletico Madrid U19 substantially higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 38.1% win probability, compared with 31.7% implied by the market. The 6.3 percentage-point difference indicates a strong divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Atletico Madrid U19 has the stronger recent profile

The away side has the stronger recent profile in both attack and defence.

Attack Recent attacking output

Liverpool U19 Atletico Madrid U19

Shots 8.0 · On target 2.8 Shots 15.8 · On target 6.8

Recent attacking output favours Atletico Madrid U19, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Liverpool U19 Atletico Madrid U19

Shots allowed 12.3 · On target allowed 5.8 Shots allowed 6.5 · On target allowed 2.8

Atletico Madrid U19 has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Liverpool U19 Atletico Madrid U19

The combined recent performance profile favours Atletico Madrid U19.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Liverpool U19 = (0.0%)

Atletico Madrid U19 ↓ -0.15 (-4.9%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.