AC Oulu vs IF Gnistan

12 Sep 2026 · 18:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +2.1 pp

AC Oulu

IF Gnistan

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 41.9% DRAW 26.3% AWAY 31.8%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 43.8% 2.21 DRAW 26.6% 3.64 AWAY 29.7% 3.26

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 2.1 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: IF Gnistan

The away side shows the stronger recent attacking profile, while the defensive comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

AC Oulu IF Gnistan

Shots 8.5 · On target 2.3 Shots 16.0 · On target 6.0

Recent attacking output favours IF Gnistan, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

AC Oulu IF Gnistan

Shots allowed 8.3 · On target allowed 3.5 Shots allowed 11.0 · On target allowed 4.3

AC Oulu has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

AC Oulu IF Gnistan

The combined recent performance profile favours IF Gnistan.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

AC Oulu ↑ +0.12 (+5.7%)

IF Gnistan ↑ +0.23 (+7.4%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.