Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Maccabi Umm al-Fahm

06 Sep 2026 · 19:30

OPPORTUNITY

CLEAR EDGE HOME +4.3 pp

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Maccabi Umm al-Fahm

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 42.5% DRAW 27.1% AWAY 30.4%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 38.2% 2.35 DRAW 27.6% 3.25 AWAY 34.2% 2.63

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet rates Hapoel Bnei Musmus clearly higher than the market does.

Our calibrated model estimates a 42.5% win probability, compared with 38.2% implied by the market. The 4.3 percentage-point difference indicates a clear divergence from current market expectations.

PERFORMANCE

Defensive Edge: Hapoel Bnei Musmus

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Maccabi Umm al-Fahm

Shots 10.8 · On target 4.0 Shots 8.3 · On target 4.3

Recent attacking output is broadly balanced between the two teams.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Maccabi Umm al-Fahm

Shots allowed 5.3 · On target allowed 1.8 Shots allowed 11.5 · On target allowed 4.5

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Maccabi Umm al-Fahm

The combined recent performance profile favours Hapoel Bnei Musmus.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Hapoel Bnei Musmus = (0.0%)

Maccabi Umm al-Fahm = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.