Viktoria Vestec vs Velim

04 Sep 2026 · 18:30

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +1.8 pp

Viktoria Vestec

Velim

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 12.0% DRAW 15.3% AWAY 72.7%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 10.2% 8.95 DRAW 15.2% 6.00 AWAY 74.6% 1.22

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 1.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Velim

The home side shows the stronger recent defensive profile, while the attacking comparison is less clear.

Attack Recent attacking output

Viktoria Vestec Velim

Shots 4.0 · On target 1.3 Shots 5.5 · On target 2.0

Recent attacking output favours Velim, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Viktoria Vestec Velim

Shots allowed 2.5 · On target allowed 1.5 Shots allowed 6.8 · On target allowed 2.8

Viktoria Vestec has the stronger recent defensive profile, allowing fewer dangerous attempts.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Viktoria Vestec Velim

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Viktoria Vestec ↑ +1.45 (+19.3%)

Velim ↓ -0.06 (-4.5%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.