Don Orione vs Deportivo Guiraldes

04 Sep 2026 · 02:00

OPPORTUNITY

NEAR MARKET +0.8 pp

Don Orione

Deportivo Guiraldes

STOCHASTIC PROBABILITY

HOME 54.6% DRAW 25.8% AWAY 19.5%

MARKET PROBABILITY

HOME 53.9% 1.70 DRAW 26.2% 3.50 AWAY 20.0% 4.59

MATCH INTELLIGENCE

StochasticBet and the market are broadly aligned.

The calibrated model remains close to current market expectations. The largest Home or Away difference is 0.8 percentage points, which does not indicate a meaningful pricing divergence.

PERFORMANCE

Attacking Edge: Don Orione

Recent attacking and defensive numbers do not show a clear overall edge.

Attack Recent attacking output

Don Orione Deportivo Guiraldes

Shots 10.0 · On target 3.0 Shots 6.5 · On target 2.8

Recent attacking output favours Don Orione, combining shots and shots on target.

Defence Recent defensive resistance

Don Orione Deportivo Guiraldes

Shots allowed 9.3 · On target allowed 4.0 Shots allowed 8.8 · On target allowed 3.5

Recent defensive numbers are broadly balanced between the two teams.

Overall Performance Combined attack and defence

Don Orione Deportivo Guiraldes

The combined recent performance profile is relatively balanced.

Based on the teams' four most recent matches in the available data.

MARKET MOVEMENT

Market broadly stable

Don Orione = (0.0%)

Deportivo Guiraldes = (0.0%)

No substantial directional movement is visible in the stored odds trend.

Latest movement from the stored odds trend.